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Guide

Planning For The Slow Month Before It Arrives

Every venue has a slow month, and most react to it only once takings have already dropped. Your own history tells you when it is coming and roughly how deep it goes. Here is how to read it and prepare staffing, cash and promotion in advance.

Takings fall by a quarter over three weeks. The rota is still built for a normal month, the entertainers are sitting, and the bills arrive on the usual dates.

By the time the slow month is obvious, most of it has already happened.

⚠️ The slow month is rarely a surprise. It usually comes at roughly the same point every year. What is missing is the habit of looking.

The short version

  • Most venues have a predictable slow period that repeats each year
  • Your own last two years of takings tell you when it starts and how deep it goes
  • Prepare three things in advance: staffing, cash and promotion
  • Cut hours before cutting people, and protect entertainers with regulars
  • The slow month is also the best time for jobs you never have time for in a busy one

Why it keeps catching people out

In a busy month nobody looks ahead, and in a slow month it is already too late.

When you noticeWhat you can still do
Three weeks inCut hours, delay spending
One week beforeAdjust the rota, warn staff
Two months beforeAll of the above, plus plan promotion and cash

⇒ Every extra week of warning adds options. Two months ahead is where the useful ones are.

One — find your own slow month

Do not use industry rules of thumb. Use your own numbers.

Take weekly takings for the last two years
Mark any stretch of three or more weeks well below your average
Year one …weeks 5-8 around 25% below average
Year two …weeks 5-9 around 22% below average
⇒ the same stretch both years

⇒ Two years agreeing is a pattern. One year alone could be a one-off.

⚠️ If you only have one year, treat it as a rough guide and check it against this year as it arrives.

Two — prepare cash first

A slow month usually does not hurt through takings. It hurts through bills that stay the same.

Rent, salaries, subscriptions …fixed
Takings …down 20-25%

⇒ Work out the gap in money terms two months ahead, and decide where it will come from.

Normal month …1,200,000 takings, 900,000 fixed costs
Slow month   …930,000 takings, 900,000 fixed costs
⇒ the margin almost disappears

⚠️ Delay optional spending into the busy month after, not the slow one. New equipment, redecoration and big stock orders can nearly always wait four weeks.

Three — staffing: hours before people

When the room is quieter, the instinct is to cut the roster. Do it in the right order.

One   shorten opening hours on the quietest nights
Two   reduce the number on the floor on quiet nights
Three keep entertainers with regulars on the rota
Four  do not let anyone go because of one slow month

⇒ Losing a good entertainer in a slow month costs you the busy month after. She will not be there when you need her.

⚠️ Tell the floor early. A slow month announced two weeks ahead feels planned; one discovered by sitting feels like the venue is struggling.

Four — promotion that fits a slow month

A slow month is a bad time to chase new customers at a discount and a good time to bring regulars back.

Weak   …a broad discount to attract new faces
Better …contacting regulars who have not been in for a while

⇒ Regulars come back at full price. New customers attracted by a discount often do not come back at all.

⚠️ Start the contact two weeks before the slow month, not during it. By then the habit of staying home has already set in.

Five — use the quiet time on purpose

The slow month has one real advantage: time.

Training new entertainers without a busy floor
Cleaning up customer records
Reviewing prices and the menu
Maintenance you could not do while busy

⇒ A slow month used this way makes the next busy month run better.

Six — check the forecast against reality

Each year, write down what you expected and what happened.

Expected dip / actual dip / start week / end week

⚠️ After two or three years, your forecast will be close enough to plan cash around — which is the point.

The numbers to keep

One   weekly takings for at least two years
Two   the weeks where takings ran well below average
Three fixed costs per month
Four  expected versus actual dip, each year

⚠️ One is the foundation. Without two years of weekly takings, everything else is a guess.

A sheet for the office

────────────────────────────────────
  The slow month

  Find it …last two years, weekly takings
  Two months ahead:
    cash    …work out the gap, delay optional spending
    staff   …cut hours before people, keep the regulars' girls
    promo   …contact lapsed regulars two weeks before

  During it: train, tidy records, review prices
  After it: write down expected vs actual
────────────────────────────────────

Common objections

"Every year is different"

⇒ Check two years. If the slow stretch lines up, it is not different enough to ignore.

"We'll just ride it out"

⚠️ Riding it out is still a plan, just a worse one. At least move optional spending out of that month.

"Cutting hours annoys the girls"

⇒ Less than sitting on a dead floor does. Tell them early and explain why.

"Discounts are the only thing that brings people in when it's quiet"

⇒ They bring in people who come for the discount. Regulars come back without one.

"We don't have two years of data"

⇒ Use what you have, and start keeping weekly takings now. Next year you will.

This week

One   pull weekly takings for the last two years
Two   mark the stretches well below average
Three check whether they line up year to year
Four  work out the cash gap for the next slow stretch
Five  list the optional spending you can move out of it

Doing it by hand, or on a screen

Two years of weekly takings in a spreadsheet is an evening's work. Doing it again every year is where it slips.

By hand …export takings, group by week, compare two years side by side
On screen …takings by period already available, so the comparison is a filter

⇒ tasteck keeps takings by date, so weekly totals across years can be pulled without assembling them by hand.

⚠️ It only covers what went through the system. If some takings were recorded elsewhere in an earlier year, that year will look quieter than it was.

Wrapping up

  • The slow month repeats — find it in your own last two years
  • Prepare cash, staffing and promotion two months ahead
  • Cut hours before people, and keep entertainers with regulars
  • Bring regulars back rather than buying new customers with discounts
  • Use the quiet time for training and tidying
  • Record expected versus actual each year

A slow month you saw coming is an inconvenience. One you did not see is a cash problem.

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